Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Iran demonstrations analysis.

I am at all day long orientation for the Morocco trip I am leading this summer - so postings continue to be few and far between. I woke up extra early this morning though (difficult) to come down to the lobby and read more Iran news.

I found this analysis by Neil MacFarquhar in the NYTimes interesting.

Similar intimidation tactics have been on display over the past few days with little result, as Iranian state news reports of seven people killed in various cities did not deter another major antigovernment rally on Tuesday. This time, analysts say, the government will have trouble bringing about a swift, sharp end to the demonstrations over the contested presidential election results in the same way it had shut down previous eruptions.

First, there is the sheer size of these demonstrations, with protests that are not limited to students, but cut across generations and economic classes. Second, there is a more pronounced, if still nebulous, leadership centered around the leading opposition candidate, Mir Hussein Moussavi, who has adopted an openly hard-edged attitude toward the government. Third, the current crisis was inspired by common anger over a national election, not the more narrow issues students took to heart.

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